Free resource
The 2026 Deployment Risk Playbook
23 signals that predict deployment failures before you merge. Research-backed, used in production.
23
signals
85–90%
model AUC
2M+
deployments analyzed
What's inside
- The 23 signals ranked by predictive power (AUC values from academic research)
- How to reduce deployment risk without slowing down release velocity
- The "confidence coach" pattern: what to tell engineers when their PR scores HIGH risk
- Coverage debt as a leading indicator: why the 65% coverage floor matters
- Team-specific calibration: how to tune the model for your deployment pattern
Who this is for
Engineering Managers
Understand which signals to watch and how to coach engineers on high-risk PRs
VPs of Engineering
Set deployment risk thresholds and track organizational risk posture over time
Staff+ Engineers
Tune the model for your team's deployment patterns and reduce false positives
Quote from design partner — coming soon
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